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help on visitor traffic forecasting

Posted: Tue Jun 26, 2007 10:17 pm
by esthon_wood
Hey guys,

I'm developing a stats counter website (http://www.pridetrack.com/stats/6) and I'm lost with the computation for the forecast. can anybody help me on how to compute for the forecasts for the hour, day, month, and year?

any help would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks in advance guys! :D

Posted: Tue Jun 26, 2007 11:00 pm
by superdezign
When collecting stats, you have to have a way to store each different stat. You have to give each different stat a different place to be, different numbers to update, different conditions to meet, etc.

It's mostly in the storage methods how easy it will be.

Posted: Tue Jun 26, 2007 11:54 pm
by esthon_wood
superdezign wrote:When collecting stats, you have to have a way to store each different stat. You have to give each different stat a different place to be, different numbers to update, different conditions to meet, etc.

It's mostly in the storage methods how easy it will be.
Thanks for the input but I'm done with that part already. My only problem is how to compute for the forecast :(

Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2007 12:12 am
by ReDucTor
You need to determine calculate a good future value you would need to collect data on trends.

Based on:
- Hour of day
- Day of week
- Month of year (season)

I think determining such information, by looking at the history, you should be able to determine calculate an estimation of how much traffic you receive for that hour, day, and week, by the growth or shrinkage in traffic compared to the previous time.